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Augur Digest

#4: Covering August 29 - September 4, 2019

PROTOCOL STATS	THIS WEEK	LAST WEEK	W/W
Open Markets	201	196	+2%
Book Size	807 ETH $141,006	808 ETH $136,620	0%
Markets Created	19	7	+171%

Review precedents set by Augur reporters. Will Sheehan launched themajority.report this week which indexes and categorizes disputed markets to help show how reporters make decisions.

Three markets put the TENNIS category in third by book size. The TENNIS category moved into third position with a $16k book. The NFL category is starting to grow. The NFL category is currently in sixth position with a $7k book.

Visualizing shifting odds. This week the market "Will the Total Value Locked (ETH) in DeFi be between 2.4M and 2.7M on September 1st?" closed. The market-driven odds quickly shifted from YES to NO as the value locked in DeFi shot past the bet's 2.7M upper bounds just before September 1.

Shifting odds (source: Guesser)

Guesser releases a new DeFi market about Maker. The second DeFi market is different than the first. Rather than measure the aggregate value in DeFi, it asks about a single product (Maker). "Will the Total ETH Locked in Maker be over 1.4 million by the end of September 14 2019 (UTC)?"

Today's edition written by

Miha Lotric
Analyst, Blocklytics

Top 5 Categories

Ranked by book size

CATEGORY	ACTIVE MARKETS	BOOK SIZE ▼
POLITICS	53	424 ETH $74,108
CRYPTOCURRENCIES	34	217 ETH $37,829
TENNIS	3	96 ETH $16,702
USA	20	44 ETH $7,663
EVENTS	18	40 ETH $7,043

Hot Markets

Ranked by velocity of matched bets

MARKET	BOOK SIZE	END TIME
Will Rafael Nadal be the 2019 US Open Men's Singles winner?	50 ETH $8,702	Sep 10, 2019
Will Novak Djokovic be the 2019 US Open Men's Singles winner?	43 ETH $7,439	Sep 11, 2019
2019 NFL Week 1: Will Chicago Bears beat Green Bay Packers?	16 ETH $2,750	Sep 7, 2019
2019 NFL Week 1: Will New Orleans Saints beat Houston Texans?	14 ETH $2,421	Sep 11, 2019
Will Carrie Lam be Chief Executive of Hong Kong on September 15, 2019?	31 ETH $5,362	Sep 15, 2019
2019 NFL Week 1: Will New England Patriots beat Pittsburgh Steelers?	10 ETH $1,794	Sep 10, 2019
Will the Ethereum (ETH) marketcap be higher than the Bitcoin (BTC) marketcap on December 31, 2019 at 24:00 UTC ?	163 ETH $28,479	Jan 1, 2020
Will Donald Trump be Re-Elected in 2020?	140 ETH $24,461	Dec 6, 2020
Who will be the 2020 Republican Nominee for president?	94 ETH $16,465	Nov 2, 2020
Will Donald Trump be impeached by the end of 2019?	76 ETH $13,286	Jan 5, 2020

Markets Ended

Closed this week, waiting to be finalized

MARKET	BOOK SIZE ▼
Will the Total Value Locked (ETH) in DeFi be between 2.4M and 2.7M on September 1st? Reported outcome: No	64 ETH $11,235
Will ETH/BTC open over 0.0185 on September 1 on Coinbase Pro? Reported outcome: No	51 ETH $8,946
English Premier League: Will Arsenal beat Tottenham? (Sep 1 2019 UTC) Reported outcome: No	15 ETH $2,647
NCAA Football: Will Auburn defeat Oregon? Reported outcome: Yes	6 ETH $961
NCAA Football: Will there be MORE than 80 total points scored in the Houston vs Oklahoma game? Reported outcome: No	1 ETH $175
Which driver will win first place in the 2019 F1 Belgian Grand Prix scheduled for September 1, 2019? Reported outcome: Leclerc	1 ETH $122
English Premier League - Burnley v Liverpool (31 August 2019 UTC) Reported outcome: Liverpool	0 ETH $79
Will the United States and China reach a trade agreement by the end of August 2019? Reported outcome: No	0 ETH $2

This email was produced using Nomics API.