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Augur Digest

#13: Covering Oct 30th - Nov 6th, 2019

PROTOCOL STATS	THIS WEEK	LAST WEEK	W/W
Open Markets	191	193	-1%
Book Size	784 ETH $146,841	825 ETH $150,230	-4%
Markets Created	15	21	-28%

US Democratic Debates. Odds in Augur market "Will Elizabeth Warren be polling over Bernie Sanders by the end of November?" follow the resolution source very closely. Currently the candidates are about even.

Will Elizabeth Warren be polling over Bernie Sanders by the end of November? (source: Guesser)

Scam markets spur Augur whitepaper update. Reporters have set a significant precedent in a series of markets with dubious resolution sources. Reporters chose to use malicious resolution sources instead of general knowledge or invalidating the markets. The decisions led to updates in the whitepaper, which previous advised reports to invalidate such markets.

Today's edition written by

Miha Lotric
Analyst, Blocklytics

Top 5 Categories

Ranked by book size

CATEGORY	ACTIVE MARKETS	BOOK SIZE ▼
POLITICS	57	523 ETH $97,903
CRYPTOCURRENCIES	35	230 ETH $42,988
USA	20	44 ETH $8,214
EVENTS	18	40 ETH $7,550
SOCCER	3	13 ETH $2,428

Hot Markets

Ranked by amount and volume of fills this week

MARKET	BOOK SIZE	END TIME
Will Elizabeth Warren be polling over Bernie Sanders by the end of November?	85 ETH $15,989	Dec 1, 2019
UEFA Champions League: Will Manchester City defeat Atalanta? (Nov 6 2019 UTC)	5 ETH $939	Nov 7, 2019
Will the BitMEX 30 day Historical Volatility Index (.BVOL) be over 80% on November 8th 2019?	6 ETH $1,124	Nov 9, 2019
English Premier League: Will Liverpool beat Manchester City? (Nov 10 2019 UTC)	8 ETH $1,488	Nov 11, 2019

Markets Ended

Closed this week, waiting to be finalized

MARKET	BOOK SIZE ▼
Will The UK Leave The European Union Before November 1st 2019? Reported outcome: No	93 ETH $17,482
Will Bitcoin be above $6000 at end of October 25th? Reported outcome: Yes	52 ETH $9,676
Will the FOMC establish the federal funds target rate range at 175-200 BPS in its meeting on October 2019? Reported outcome: No	25 ETH $4,696
2019 NFL Week 9: Will the Dallas Cowboys defeat the New York Giants? Reported outcome: Yes	21 ETH $3,933
2019 NFL Week 9: Will the New England Patriots defeat the Baltimore Ravens? Reported outcome: No	20 ETH $3,662
2019 NFL Week 9: Will the Seattle Seahawks defeat the Tampa Bay Buccaneers? Reported outcome: Yes	8 ETH $1,452
2019 NFL Week 9: Will the Oakland Raiders defeat the Detroit Lions? Reported outcome: Yes	6 ETH $1,030
Will The UK Leave The European Union Before November 1st 2019? Reported outcome: Yes	4 ETH $749
2019 NFL Week 9: Will the Green Bay Packers defeat the Los Angeles Chargers? Reported outcome: No	3 ETH $562
UFC 244: Will Nate Diaz defeat Jorge Masvidal? Reported outcome: No	3 ETH $553
Will the Washington Nationals win the 2019 World Series by beating the Houston Astros? Reported outcome: Yes	1 ETH $187
2019 NFL Week 9: Will the Philadelphia Eagles defeat the Chicago Bears? Reported outcome: Yes	1 ETH $187

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